Not only is Patrick going to win, this isn't even a contest anymore. The last debate hasn't been held but the post-mortems have begun. And how about that Herald front page headline?

Was it the Romney legacy, the Big Dig, the attack ads or all of the above? Dan Kennedy says it was the ads and humorously suggests that Patrick supporters might want to send money to Healey -- so she can air more of them.

Joan Vennochi thinks it was the general tone of Healey's campaign.

...Instead of framing the issues in a way that reflects the real concerns of average voters, she stretched them into cartoon-like fear factors. Unless you are part of the angry talk radio crowd, it's a turn-off.

It wasn't too long ago that the conventional wisdom in Republican circles had Healey trouncing Patrick. He was their dream candidate. It was Tom Reilly they were really worried about.

So much for conventional wisdom.